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Tuesday 14 November 2023

Why the defense industry isn’t buying into the ‘Buy American’ craze


President Joe Biden and an influential bloc of lawmakers from both parties want more U.S. military hardware to be made in America.

But the defense industry — the beneficiary of the movement — says now is the wrong time. Supply chain problems, towering global demands for weapons and the need to work with allies to get it all done means that the America First movement should wait.

The “Buy American” campaign, fueled by the promise of a domestic manufacturing boom and well-paying jobs right here at home, is gaining steam in Congress. Both versions of the can’t-fail National Defense Authorization Act contain provisions that require a certain percentage of American weapons be made domestically.

Yet the politics is crashing into the reality facing the defense industry. Already wobbling from the demands of arming Taiwan and Ukraine, American weapons makers have the added task of producing for Israel — while also rearming the U.S. after its shelves were raided to help other countries.

The unprecedented race to build weapons has blown a hole in the system, forcing the Pentagon to seek more help from Europe and elsewhere to fill orders for desperate customers in Taipei, Kyiv and Jerusalem.

“We don’t believe it’s the right time,” said Keith Webster, the president of the U.S. Chamber of Commerce's Defense and Aerospace Council, when asked about the Buy American provisions.

“We believe our industries understand the importance of onshoring and securing supply chains, and they need some flexibility to achieve the significant ramp up being asked of them to resupply Ukraine, resupply European partners, resupply Israel and resupply ourselves.”

The Aerospace Industries Association, which represents 340 U.S. firms, released a carefully worded statement when asked for its reaction to the Buy American push. Yet the message was clear: Go easy on us.

“Investing in American manufacturing pays dividends across our economy, but Congress must also support strategic policies that recognize the value of a global supply chain that sources domestically and internationally,” AIA’s Vice President for International Affairs Dak Hardwick said.

“Aggressive domestic sourcing requirements like Buy America hinder our relationships with partners and allies, impact our ability to improve supply chain resiliency with global partners, and contribute growing inflation, and we hope Congress considers this as they finalize year-end legislation.”

Critics argue the requirements will decrease competition, raise weapon system costs, lower access to innovative technologies and potentially cut out suppliers faster than the U.S. defense industrial base can fill in the gaps.

“Fundamentally the chamber is supportive of American industry, of course, but what we're worried about is arbitrary requirements and not working with industry leaders to do what's right for the industrial base as well as for America,” Webster said.

And while at first blush the U.S. defense manufacturers appear to benefit, the industry worries it might spur foreign governments to reciprocate — a backlash that would hurt business abroad and cost American jobs.

The Pentagon’s top acquisition official, William LaPlante, acknowledged to a defense industry conference in Washington this month that the suck of ammunition and weapons for Ukraine has changed how the Pentagon is thinking about the future and showed how important it is to work with other countries.

“Very few people anticipated the prolonged, high-volume conflict,” he said, adding that he just returned from Brussels where he met with allies about doing more joint production of weapons systems.

“We are relearning just how resource-intensive this type of warfare can be,” he said, “so we need a paradigm shift to meet the needs of today and future fight.”

The Buy American push has also been a central economic message for Biden, and in recent months it has overlapped with proponents on Capitol Hill, who see it as a way to keep defense manufacturing contracts at home.

Biden has touted his administration’s record on reviving the domestic manufacturing sector, creating jobs and bringing industries back to U.S. shores — even invoking the economic benefits to sell his latest Ukraine aid proposal to skeptical Republicans.

His message to them: Support funding for Ukraine translates to jobs in the U.S.

But that pitch aligns with something that’s already happening. On Capitol Hill, lawmakers are looking to change actual policy and are grappling with the issue in talks on a compromise defense policy bill.

The House and Senate both approved bills with provisions that aim to strengthen existing requirements for major defense products to be substantially made in the U.S., albeit with differing approaches, and well beyond Ukraine.

While Buy American proposals have come and gone over the decades, there’s new momentum now in both parties. Supply shortages during the COVID-19 pandemic prompted a push to regain some of the manufacturing America ceded to China and elsewhere, and even Republican stances on free markets have shifted in favor of reshoring.

Biden, days after his inauguration in 2021, signed an executive order that said 60 percent of products bought with taxpayer dollars must be made domestically, ramping up to a final target of 75 percent in 2029.

Rep. Donald Norcross (D-N.J.) this summer successfully added a proposal to the House version of the NDAA that would codify in law Biden’s domestic content requirements, specifically for major defense programs.

Norcross has tried this in previous years, but was more successful this time; he added an explicit exemption for the countries that have a reciprocal defense procurement memorandum of understanding with the U.S.

In an interview, he said making such a carveout for allies is necessary given the demands on the base.

“With Israel and Ukraine, we’re seeing we need to build up our defense supply base overnight,” Norcross said. “But let’s be realistic here and have conversations with our allies and partners to make sure when we do build up our industrial base, we are working with those [allies] who work with us all the time. That’s a critical difference from our original concept.”

Despite the bill’s sizable exception for certain allies, it managed to retain the endorsement of the AFL-CIO, America’s largest federation of unions; the International Association of Machinists and Aerospace Workers, and the Union Veterans Council.

IAM International President Robert Martinez said last month in a letter to lead lawmakers on the armed services committees that enacting the measure would, “create and support hundreds of thousands of manufacturing jobs in the U.S., ensure that our men and women in uniform have consistent access to the tools they need to safely complete their mission, and bolster our industrial base and domestic supply chain.”

The Senate’s version of the NDAA goes a step further, yet is narrowly focused. It includes an amendment from Sen. Tammy Baldwin (D-Wis.) that would require that by 2033, any new Navy ship purchased uses 100 percent domestically produced materials, such as propulsion systems, shipboard components, couplings, shafts and support bearings.

Baldwin, with Sen. Tammy Duckworth (D-Ill.), sponsored an NDAA amendment similar to the Norcross legislation, but it was not included in the bill.

Baldwin has argued the legislation that was included — backed by the American Shipbuilding Suppliers Association and local companies Appleton Marine and Fairbanks Morse — ensures taxpayer dollars are supporting American jobs, growing the U.S. economy and keeping the domestic defense industrial base strong.

Baldwin said the right answer to threats the U.S. is facing is to rebuild domestic defense industrial capacity, and that her legislation includes sufficient waivers for allies — which the Navy secretary can invoke.

“Investing in our domestic manufacturing base and the businesses and workers that power it will help keep our country safe and better protect us against future supply chain disruptions,” Baldwin said in a statement.

Top U.S. allies Britain and Canada came out against the Baldwin provision, saying in separate letters to lawmakers last month that it would hurt cooperation. The provision is also opposed by an association of 25 foreign military attachĂ©s whose countries have special reciprocal trade agreements with the Pentagon — which is primed to realize the cooperation DOD is after.

“[W]e oppose protectionist language in the Senate NDAA around U.S. domestic content thresholds for shipbuilding,” Karen Pierce, Britain’s ambassador to the U.S., wrote in her letter. “This language increases barriers for the U.K. at a time when our shared cooperation, particularly in the maritime domain, is of great strategic importance.”

Fears among U.S. defense firms of an allied blowback are valid, according to Defense MoU Attachés Group Chair Sander Oude Hengel, who said Buy American policies do reverberate abroad.

“If you strengthen Buy American in the U.S., it has the strong potential to strengthen protectionist politics in Europe and in Asia, so if you go ‘Buy American,’ we’ll go ‘Buy Europe,’ and there's potential to go ‘Buy Asia,’” Oude Hengel said.

It also runs counter to the Pentagon policies, formed with an eye on Russia and China, that embrace co-production, co-development and co-sustainment at a global level, he said.

“There’s not enough of a labor force in the U.S., there’s not enough production capacity and [the Pentagon] has been advocating to do co-production and co-sustainment abroad,” Oude Hengel said. “If DOD is advocating that, it shows America is unable to produce solely domestically, from a capacity perspective.”

Oude Hengel has said that if the NDAA has to have “Buy American” language, he favors the Norcross provision. Not all 25 nations in his group have taken that position.

They’re not alone in opposing both the House and Senate proposals. The Chamber of Commerce’s Webster knocked the administration’s domestic content requirements as arbitrary.

“When you’re talking about 75 percent domestic content or greater … that is just not possible,” Webster said. “It is a global industry. Yes, we shouldn’t have China in it, and yes we shouldn’t have adversaries in it, and yes, we should onshore as much as is reasonable, but let industry work with the administration to determine what is realistic.”

Bill Greenwalt, a former Pentagon industrial policy official and opponent of Buy American content requirements, argued that the loopholes in the Baldwin and Norcross measures are not enough. Baldwin’s proposal includes waivers for fellow members of the Five Eyes intelligence alliance — which includes the U.K., Australia and New Zealand.

“The process and criteria for getting such waivers through the [White House] Made in America office look daunting,” Greenwalt said, adding that the “best maritime technology is not in the Five Eyes but in Denmark, Netherlands, Norway, Japan, Korea.”

Plus, DOD procurement officials could implement the exemptions Norcross proposed “haphazardly,” Greenwalt said. “By the time a country can explain to DOD procurement officials that they are from an exempted country, the deadlines for responding to an [opportunity to bid on a project] may have passed.”

But the letter from the British ambassador that bashed the Baldwin proposal was markedly kinder to the Norcross proposal, saying “we were pleased to see” the exemptions for allies and partners.

“We believe that this firm exemption for key allies is critical to further strengthening our shared defense industrial base,” she wrote.

Representatives from the House and the Senate plan to meet soon to work out a compromise between the two versions of the NDAA, and have set an ambitious goal of having it all done by Thanksgiving.

As they negotiate the Buy American provision, the members must strike a balance between needs at home and abroad.

“Yes, we want to increase what we do here in the U.S., but it's also in our interest to help with the capacity of our close allies so that we become less dependent upon China and Russia,” House Armed Services Chair Adam Smith (D-Wash.) explained of the negotiations. “That's the sweet spot we're trying to find.”



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Monday 13 November 2023

5 killed as U.S. military aircraft crashes into Mediterranean


BERLIN — Five U.S. servicepeople were killed when a military aircraft crashed over the eastern Mediterranean Sea during a training mission, U.S. European Command said Sunday.

The aircraft crashed on Friday evening. EUCOM said all five crew members were killed when it went down “during a routine air refueling mission as part of military training.”

The military initially first announced the crash on Saturday and said that the cause is under investigation, but there are no indications of any hostile activity involved. It said on Sunday that “search and rescue efforts began immediately, including nearby U.S. military aircraft and ships.”

European Command said that out of respect for the families of the service members and in line with Department of Defense policy, the identities of the crew members are being withheld until 24 hours after next of kin notifications are completed.

It wasn’t immediately clear what military service the aircraft belonged to. The Air Force has sent additional squadrons to the region and the USS Gerald R. Ford aircraft carrier, which has an array of aircraft on board, has also been operating in the eastern Mediterranean.

President Joe Biden issued the following statement Sunday: "Today, Jill and I mourn the loss of 5 American service members who died when their aircraft crashed in the Mediterranean Sea during a routine training mission. Our service members put their lives on the line for our country every day. They willingly take risks to keep the American people safe and secure. And their daily bravery and selflessness is an enduring testament to what is best in our nation. Jill and I are praying for the families and friends who have lost a precious loved one — a piece of their soul. Our entire nation shares their grief."



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Sunday 12 November 2023

Johnson leans into conservative demands on plan to avert shutdown


Speaker Mike Johnson is leaning into the demands of his right flank, planning to head off a Friday government shutdown deadline with a risky two-tiered spending idea, according to two people on a House GOP call.

The proposal tees up two different funding deadlines for different parts of the government: one on Jan. 19 and the other in early February, according to those two Republicans.

The strategy ramps up the chances of a shutdown, since Senate Democrats are almost certain to reject the idea. Even some House Republicans have been publicly skeptical of the two-deadline system, which lawmakers have referred to as a “laddered” continuing resolution.

Johnson has told members he plans to bring the plan up for a floor vote on Tuesday. House Democrats have already signalled they would reject a two-tier plan, meaning the speaker will need near-unanimous Republican support to send it to the Senate.



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Biden commemorates Veterans Day as conflicts escalate abroad


With the U.S. facing increasing involvement in two wars, President Joe Biden addressed current and former servicemembers at Veterans Day ceremonies Saturday at Arlington National Cemetery.

Although Biden did not explicitly mention the ongoing conflicts in Ukraine and Gaza, his speech focused on American forces rising to the occasion to defeat darkness and evil.

“Whenever and wherever the forces of darkness have sought to extinguish the light of liberty, American veterans have been holding the lantern as high as they can for all of us,” he said, speaking at the Memorial Amphitheater after placing a wreath at the Tomb of the Unknown Soldier.

Biden was joined by Vice President Kamala Harris, Secretary of Veterans’ Affairs Denis McDonough and top military officials.

“Our veterans are the steel spine of this nation, and their families, like so many of you, are the courageous heart,” Biden said.

Although there are no American boots on the ground fighting in the conflicts in Ukraine or Gaza, the U.S. is a major provider of military aid and security assistance to Ukraine in its war with Russia, and to Israel in its war with Hamas.

Biden's speech highlighted the PACT Act, which was signed into law last year. The legislation aimed to expand healthcare access for veterans exposed to toxic chemicals and their families.

“Too many of our nation’s warriors have served, only to return home to suffer from permanent effects of this poisonous smoke,” Biden said, adding that all veterans who had been exposed to toxins while serving in any conflict included in the PACT Act would become eligible to enroll in VA healthcare starting in March 2024.

The Biden-Harris campaign also aired a TV ad focused on the legislation, timed to Veterans Day.

Biden’s son, Beau Biden, died of brain cancer after serving in Iraq, where he was exposed to burn pits.

“On this day, I can still see my son, Attorney General of Delaware, standing ramrod straight as I pinned his bars on him the day he joined the Army and National Guard in Delaware. I can still feel the overwhelming pride of Major Beau Biden receiving the Bronze Star, the Legion of Merit and the Delaware Conspicuous Service Cross,” he said. “We miss him.”

“Today I see that light of liberty. We live by it, just like our forebears. So all of us together, to ask ourselves, what can we do, what must we do to keep that light burning?” Biden said, concluding his remarks.



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UN sounds alarm on Darfur, warns world not to repeat history


Escalating bloodshed since the outbreak of civil war in Sudan could lead to another genocide, the United Nations warned after a sharp uptick of violence in Darfur.

The U.N. Refugee Agency said on Friday that it was “gravely concerned” following the mass killing of at least 800 people within 72 hours as part of the ethnic cleansing of minorities conducted by the Arab paramilitary Rapid Support Forces and its allies in the Ardamata refugee camp in West Darfur this week.

Reports from Ardamata detail how paramilitary forces armed with assault rifles went door to door shooting men and boys, leaving their corpses scattered on the street.

About 30,000 non-Arab Sudanese civilians — largely members of the Masalit tribe — had sought shelter in the camp since mid-April, when war broke out between Sudan’s two top generals, Sudanese military Gen. Abdel Fattah al-Burhan and RSF Gen. Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo.

The U.S. Embassy in Khartoum attributed the mass killing to the RSF, further expressing concern about the RSF’s “pattern of abuses in connection with their military offensives.”

“We are deeply disturbed by eyewitness reports of serious human rights abuses by the RSF and affiliated militias, including killings in Ardamata, West Darfur, ethnic targeting of the Masalit community leaders and members, and the arbitrary detention of civilians, including human rights defenders and activists,” the embassy’s official account posted to X, formerly known as Twitter, on Wednesday. “These horrifying actions once again highlight the RSF’s pattern of abuses in connection with their military offensives.”

U.N. High Commissioner Filippo Grandi on Friday compared the current violence to the U.S.-recognized genocide in Darfur, in which an estimated 300,000 people died between 2003 and 2005, warning that a “similar dynamic might be developing.”

“Twenty years ago, the world was shocked by the terrible atrocities and human rights violations in Darfur. We fear a similar dynamic might be developing. An immediate end to the fighting and unconditional respect for the civilian population by all parties are crucial to avoid another catastrophe,” said Grandi.

The U.N. Refugee Agency — also known as the UNHCR — had also admonished the world community earlier in the week, saying it was “scandalously silent, though violations of international humanitarian law persist with impunity,” and that it is “shameful that the atrocities committed 20 years ago in Darfur can be happening again today with such little attention.”

More than 4.8 million people have been displaced internally in Sudan and 1.2 million have fled to neighboring countries since April. According to the U.N. at least 8,000 people fled Sudan to Chad last week alone.



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Saturday 11 November 2023

Election offices are sent envelopes with fentanyl or other substances. Authorities are investigating.


WASHINGTON — Authorities were hunting Thursday for whoever sent suspicious letters — including some containing fentanyl — to elections offices in at least five states this week, delaying the counting of ballots in some local races in the latest instance of threats faced by election workers around the country.

The letters were sent to elections offices in the presidential battlegrounds of Georgia and Nevada, as well as California, Oregon and Washington, with some being intercepted before they arrived. Four of the letters contained fentanyl, the FBI and U.S. Postal Inspection Service reported in a statement to elections officials Thursday.

“Law enforcement is working diligently to intercept any additional letters before they are delivered,” the statement said.

The Pierce County auditor’s office in Tacoma, Wash., released images of the letter it received, showing it had been postmarked in Portland, Ore., and read in part, “End elections now.”

In Seattle, King County Elections Director Julie Wise said that letter appeared to be the same one her office got — and that it was “very similar” to one King County received during the August primary, which also contained fentanyl.

Among the offices that appeared to be targeted was Fulton County in Georgia, which includes Atlanta and is the largest voting jurisdiction in one of the nation’s most important presidential swing states. Authorities were working to intercept the letter. In the meantime, Secretary of State Brad Raffensperger said officials were sending the overdose-reversal drug naloxone to the office as a precaution.

“This is domestic terrorism, and it needs to be condemned by anyone that holds elected office and anyone that wants to hold elective office anywhere in America,” said Raffensperger, a Republican.

In California, the United States Postal Service intercepted two suspicious envelopes that were headed to election facilities in Los Angeles and Sacramento.

Authorities in Lane County, Ore., which includes the University of Oregon, were investigating a piece of mail that arrived at the local election office Wednesday. No one who came in contact with it had experienced any negative health effects, said Devon Ashbridge, spokeswoman for the Lane County Elections Office in Eugene.

The incident prompted officials to close the office and delayed an afternoon pickup of ballots. Ashbridge declined to provide further details.

“Someone attempted to terrorize our elections staff, and that’s not OK,” Ashbridge said.

On Wednesday, authorities in Washington state said four county election offices had to be evacuated as election workers were processing ballots cast in Tuesday’s election, delaying vote-counting.

Election offices in King, Skagit, Spokane and Pierce counties received envelopes containing powders. Local law enforcement officials said the substances in King and Spokane counties field-tested positive for fentanyl. In at least one other case, the substance was baking soda.

Pierce County Auditor Linda Farmer released images of the envelope and letter her office received. The letter contained a warning about the vulnerability of “ballot drops” and read: “End elections now. Stop giving power to the right that they don’t have. We are in charge now and there is no more need for them.”

The letter featured an antifascist symbol, a progress pride flag and a pentagram. While the symbols have sometimes been associated with leftist politics, they also have been used by conservative figures to label and stereotype the left, and the sender’s political leanings were unclear.

Elections offices in two Washington counties — King and Okanogan — also received suspicious envelopes while processing ballots during the August primary, and the letter sent to King County tested positive for traces of fentanyl. Those letters remain under investigation by the U.S. Postal Inspection Service and FBI.

Washington Secretary of State Steve Hobbs called the incidents in his state “acts of terrorism to threaten our elections.”

White House spokeswoman Olivia Dalton said the Biden administration was aware of the investigation: “We are grateful for the election and poll workers who served this week to ensure the security of our democratic processes.”

Fentanyl, an opioid that can be 50 times as powerful as the same amount of heroin, is driving an overdose crisis deadlier than any the U.S. has ever seen as it is pressed into pills or mixed into other drugs. Briefly touching fentanyl cannot cause an overdose, and researchers have found that the risk of fatal overdose from accidental exposure is low.

Jeanmarie Perrone, director of the Center for Addiction Medicine and Policy at the University of Pennsylvania said studies simulating exposure from opening envelopes containing powders showed that very little, if any, of the powder becomes aerosolized to cause toxicity through inhalation.

She noted that factory workers in manufacturing facilities often wear some level of protective equipment, but even incidental nasal exposure has not been found to cause toxicity in those workers.

“We have really good evidence that it wouldn’t be exposed through the skin, or through inhalation,” Perrone said.

It was not immediately clear how authorities came to suspect that a letter might have been sent to Georgia’s biggest election office. Raffensperger said the state alerted all 159 of its counties of the possible threat Wednesday, but believes only Fulton County is being targeted.

It’s the latest disruption since the 2020 election to the office that oversees voting in and around Atlanta.

Fulton County Commission Chairman Robb Pitts, speaking at a news conference Thursday with Raffensperger, said the county’s election workers had been under threat since at least when two of them were singled out following the 2020 presidential election, with then-Republican President Donald Trump, attorney Rudolph Giuliani and others falsely alleging that election workers were stuffing ballots to aid Democrats. Democrat Joe Biden narrowly won the state.

Part of the Fulton County prosecution that indicted Trump, Giuliani and 17 others includes criminal charges focusing on statements and acts made against election workers.

“There’s people out there who want to do harm to our workers and want to disrupt, interrupt, the flow of democracy and free, open and transparent elections, and we’re prepared for it,” said Pitts, an elected Democrat.

Pitts said he believes that in 2024 Georgia’s most populous county will be the “focal point” of election scrutiny.

“So this was a good trial run for us, I hate to say it,” he said.

Many election offices across the United States have taken steps to increase the security of their buildings and boost protections for workers amid an onslaught of harassment and threats following the 2020 election and the false claims that it was rigged.

It’s a “sad reality” that election officials are still facing threats, said David Becker, a former attorney in the Justice Department’s Civil Rights Division who works with election officials through the nonprofit Center for Election Innovation & Research.

“While it may be unlikely this attack would cause serious damage, it seems clearly designed to terrorize the public servants in these offices who run elections,” Becker said.



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Friday 10 November 2023

Adams is the talk of Somos — even though he isn’t there


SAN JUAN — New York City Mayor Eric Adams said he isn’t coming to the Somos conference in Puerto Rico this year. But his political woes were the main topic of conversation the first day on the island.

“He’s running — away,” one Assembly member joked to POLITICO, one of many attendees at the annual state Democratic confab, who were granted anonymity to discuss a powerful figure whose political standing is in flux.

Halfway through his first term, and with fresh news of a federal investigation touching his inner circle, everyone seems to be discussing who might be running against Adams in 2025 and what his political future may be.

“There have to be options,” said City Council member Diana Ayala. “I’m very disappointed with the management of the current administration.

Ayala is considering running for mayor herself, having “very preliminary conversations.”

But, she added, “I don’t think I should be the only one running. This is an invitation to others. That’s what democracy is about. If not now, when?

The campaign fundraiser for Adams had her home raided by the FBI last week as federal prosecutors investigate whether the campaign conspired with the Turkish government to funnel illegal contributions from foreign citizens to the campaign through straw donors.

Nobody has been charged in the case, and there’s no indication that Adams himself will be implicated. Adams said Wednesday he had hired the law firm WilmerHale to represent him in the probe.

The city’s fiscal woes are keeping him home, Adams said Wednesday, along a pause on non-essential travel. He didn’t mention whether the FBI raid also influenced the apparently-last-minute decision.

But his troubles back home were on the tip of people’s tongues.

“People are circling, waiting to see if there’s a there there,” said one New York City lobbyist. “If he’s implicated, things could unravel quickly.”



The annual Somos conference brings more than 2,000 figures in New York’s political ecosystem together for a five-day conference on Latino issues. It’s also among the largest networking events of the year, where people come to lobby, gossip and plan for the upcoming year.

So in Adams’ absence, a few potential mayoral challengers filled the spotlight — whether they liked it or not.

Every two feet, state Sen. Zellnor Myrie got stopped by people wanting a hug or a quick word, as he walked through the lobby of the Caribe Hilton on his way to state Comptroller Tom DiNapoli’s opening night reception Wednesday.

“Can we get the principal inside?!” His fiancĂ©, former Assembly member Diana Richardson joked to the other members of his entourage.

“I have been approached, I continue to be approached,” about running for mayor, Myrie told POLITICO. But those political conversations aren’t on most New Yorker’s minds.

“Most New Yorkers are wondering why they can’t pay rent, have no path to homeownership, cannot afford their medication, do not have support for child care,” he said.

Should the mayor be here? Myrie paused for 12 seconds. “I’m not going to comment on the mayor’s scheduling choices,” he said. “I think that is wholly within his administration's power to decide what’s important.”

But key members of his team are at the conference, on their own dime, including chief adviser Ingrid Lewis-Martin, advisers Diane Savino and Peter Koo and campaign lawyer Vito Pitta. NYPD Commissioner Edward Caban is here, along with top staff including Kaz R. Daughtry, and so is Sheriff Anthony Miranda — wearing a six-pointed star pin.

State Sen. Jessica Ramos came in early, on Election Day.

“I know that talking about the future of the mayoral seat is a very sexy topic,” she said, but I think that much more of a priority is learning when White House meetings are going to get rescheduled, and how we’re actually going to get back on track trying to get the funding that we need.”

That cheeky, let’s-focus-on-the-work tone was shared by Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso.

“People are asking a lot of people to run,” he said. Himself, included. “I’m here to discuss issues affecting Latinos in Brooklyn.

Other potential mayoral candidates’ names are getting floated too. Some, too ridiculous to print. Others, yet-to-be-confirmed rumors.

One trend: They’re not all Working Families Party-aligned progressives. The last two years — and maybe the last week especially — have some insiders dreaming of a moderate, or a technocrat.

“Everyone in the nonprofit world’s like ‘Chris Quinn is going to run, right?’” said one nonprofit lobbyist, talking about the former City Council speaker turned homeless shelter executive. She ran for mayor in 2013, and while she’s said she won’t challenge Adams, she hasn’t closed the door to running.

“It will take a very special kind of progressive to beat Eric Adams in 2025, but a more centrist, or even just a slightly-to-the-left of Eric Adams candidate could really challenge him,” said political consultant Ryan Adams, who has worked for New York City Council member Justin Brannan, another other candidates. “Most of all, whoever challenges Eric Adams would have to be fun. No boring person will beat Eric Adams.

The mayoral race talk has some Adams defenders wishing people would slow down. It’s too soon to write him off, they said, despite slumping poll numbers even before the latest scandal.

”Based on what we’re hearing right now we have no reason not to be with the mayor,” Sen. James Sanders said about himself and his colleagues representing the largely Black, middle class neighborhoods of southeast Queens. “We’ve seen so many incidents of the media hooting and hollering, and in the end there’s no there there.”

Sanders endorsed Adams in 2021, but the mayor even needs to firm up support with old allies. “Are we totally happy with everything? Heck no,” he said. “We’re looking for initiatives from the mayor. Some way that he is remembering that we are in southeast Queens and we vote.”

A version of this story first appeared in Thursday’s New York Playbook. Subscribe here.



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