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Thursday 22 June 2023

Did Hunter Biden get off easy? We asked the experts.


Hunter Biden’s plea deal may resolve his immediate legal troubles, but it has only exacerbated the persistent debate over whether the president’s son is being treated too harshly, too leniently or just like any other citizen.

Republicans are bashing the agreement — which allows Biden to plead guilty to two misdemeanor tax crimes and avoid prison on a felony gun charge if he stays out of trouble — as an outrageous sweetheart deal. But independent legal experts say the truth is more complicated.

Two former IRS lawyers said Biden’s deal is not an outlier and is similar to what ordinary taxpayers could expect if investigated for similar conduct. Two other former tax officials told POLITICO that Biden could have faced stiffer charges.

And while former President Donald Trump is railing against the deal, experts noted an irony: Trump himself likely could have gotten a similar deal if he had cooperated with federal investigators eyeing his retention of government documents. Instead, Trump is accused of obstructing those investigators and is now under indictment and facing significant prison time.

Maggie Abdo-Gomez, a Miami tax attorney and former IRS lawyer, said it’s rare for people to face criminal charges for simply failing to pay their taxes.

“I’ve only seen them — one time — prosecute someone for failure to pay taxes,” she said. “Because the truth is, if we prosecuted for failure to pay taxes, the jails would be full. Forget the drug dealers and the murderers and everybody else. I have a small practice, and I’ve got tons of people that owe taxes.”



“The laws were enforced as if it had been anybody else,” she added, regarding Hunter’s case. “I would say probably a little stricter, because failure to pay is very common.”

Caroline Ciraolo, acting head of the Justice Department’s Tax Division for the last year of the Obama administration, said the case’s resolution didn’t strike her as outside the norm. If the Justice Department had found evidence that Hunter Biden lied or took other “affirmative acts” to dodge his taxes, he likely would have faced tougher charges, she said.

“If there was evidence of affirmative conduct, then under DOJ policy the charge would have been felony evasion of payment,” she added. “And that’s not the case here. And after five years and an investigation that crossed two administrations on different sides of the aisle, I would imagine that if there was evidence of affirmative conduct, we would not be looking at the information we’re looking at right now.”

But that’s not a consensus view. Kathy Enstrom, who spent more than two decades doing criminal investigation work at the IRS, said the president’s son could have faced tougher charges. She left the IRS two years ago, while the Biden investigation was ongoing, but said she had no visibility into the probe. Usually, she said, agents in IRS Criminal Investigation recommend felony charges in cases like this one.

“This is a little bit unique in terms of how they’re utilizing the 7203 misdemeanor charge,” she said, referring to the provision of the U.S. code under which Biden is pleading guilty. “I just haven’t seen that too often, mostly because the agents of IRS CI work the most egregious cases, and when they move forward with investigations, they’re looking toward a felony conviction, not necessarily something less than that. The resources of IRS CI are very limited and so that’s their main goal, ultimately — a felony conviction.”

Mark Milton, who spent four years as a trial attorney in the Justice Department’s Tax Division, also said misdemeanor tax charges are unusual. He added that the court filings detailing the charges were “very bare bones,” which gives the public — and the judge who will handle sentencing — minimal clues regarding Hunter Biden’s financial wrongdoing.

“In my experience, prosecutors want felonies in tax cases,” he said. “The fact that he’s only pleading guilty to misdemeanors suggests special treatment.”

Attorney General Merrick Garland has sharply pushed back against allegations of special treatment, including in new comments on Wednesday. He noted that the U.S. attorney who supervised the investigation and agreed to the plea deal was appointed by Trump.



The plea deal includes a so-called diversion program – sometimes used for defendants with substance abuse issues — that will result in prosecutors dropping the gun charge if Hunter Biden complies with the program’s conditions. The charge itself — possessing a firearm while being a user of illegal drugs — is not a charge the Justice Department frequently prosecutes.

Brandon Beck, formerly an appellate lawyer in the Office of the Federal Public Defender for the Northern District of Texas, said that the Justice Department may have been wary of a constitutional challenge to the gun law.

“It’s something that’s probably a little bit unusual, but it could be explained by the constitutional problems with (g)(3),” Beck said, referring to the statutory provision that prohibits drug users from having guns. “Or it could be explained by preferential treatment of the son of the president. And how would you know? They both could explain it.”

“I would always think, if the president’s your dad, your life’s a little bit easier,” he added.

Trump himself has claimed on social media that the plea deal is “a massive COVERUP & FULL SCALE ELECTION INTERFERENCE ‘SCAM’ THE LIKES OF WHICH HAS NEVER BEEN SEEN IN OUR COUNTRY BEFORE.”

But Elkan Abramowitz, a long-time Manhattan criminal defense attorney, said Trump himself could have gotten a similar deal if he had fully cooperated with investigators scrutinizing his retention of classified documents.

“I think that if Trump wanted to work out a deal for the documents case, he would have gotten a misdemeanor as well under similar arrangements,” he said. “So I don’t think there’s anything extraordinary.”



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Coast Guard to continue search-and-rescue for missing Titanic tourist sub


Search-and-rescue operations for the Titan, a missing submersible carrying five people that vanished en route to the Titanic shipwreck, are not transitioning into recovery, the Coast Guard said on Wednesday afternoon.

Titan, the 21-foot tourist submersible, lost contact with its parent ship, the Canadian-owned Polar Prince, on Sunday morning. The U.S. and Canadian Coast Guards have joined forces with commercial, research and private vessels and aircraft, as well as teams from other countries, to search a span of the North Atlantic now twice the size of Connecticut.

OceanGate Exploration, the company that owns Titan and operates dives to the Titanic, made successful dives to the shipwreck in 2021 and 2022, according to the company’s website. Taking a journey with OceanGate, the only company offering dives to the Titanic site, can cost a “citizen scientist” $250,000.

U.S. and Canadian officials projected their hope that the Titan and the five passengers on board would be rescued, despite the adverse conditions.

“This is a search-and-rescue mission, 100 percent,” U.S. Coast Guard Capt. Jamie Frederick said at a news conference in Boston on Wednesday. “We are smack dab in the middle of search and rescue, and we’ll continue to put every available asset that we have in an effort to find the Titan and the crew members.”

Coast Guard officials told reporters on Tuesday that the submersible had about 40 hours of oxygen remaining; Coast Guard officials on Wednesday declined to provide specific estimates when asked by reporters.

“We just have to remain optimistic. We’ll keep working until we find the submersible, and again, I — I am very mindful of just how stressful and worrisome this is for the families, and — and of course the submersible team, the explorer team,” Joyce Murray, minister of Fisheries, Oceans and the Canadian Coast Guard, said at a news conference in Ottawa on Wednesday.

The Coast Guard has deployed C-130 aircraft searching by sight and radar and P-3 aircraft dropping monitor sonar buoys to help locate the submersible. Additional equipment and international vessels are expected to be deployed in the coming days; a French team is expected to arrive on Wednesday with a vessel that can reach even further depths than those currently deployed.

Coast Guard and rescue team officials also confirmed that multiple P-3 planes flying over the search area detected noises. Though officials have not yet identified their nature or origin, officials confirmed that they have honed their search to the areas where the noises were detected.

While the Coast Guard has not yet released the log of passengers on the voyage, family members and associates have confirmed the identities of the passengers aboard the Titan: Hamish Harding, 58, a billionaire British explorer; Paul-Henri Nargeolet, 77, a French Titanic expert; British businessman Shahzana Dawood, 48, and his son, Suleman, 19; and Stockton Rush, 61, founder and CEO of OceanGate Expeditions.

Experts have underscored the scope of resources deployed to the search.

“The assets that are deployed out there are significant,” Larry Daley, president of Titanic Expeditions and an expert on the Titanic, said Wednesday on MSNBC. “I’ve never seen anything like this in my life. I haven’t seen this in a movie.”



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Durbin announces vote on Supreme Court ethics bill


Senate Judiciary Chair Dick Durbin is done waiting patiently for the Supreme Court to change its ethics standards.

The Illinois Democrat announced Wednesday that his panel will vote on ethics legislation for the high court in July, after he and Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) have spent months probing the matter. Durbin's statement was prompted by a ProPublica report that Justice Samuel Alito took an expensive fishing trip with prominent GOP donor Paul Singer, a story that followed another ProPublica investigation into Justice Clarence Thomas accepting luxury trips from billionaire Harlan Crow. Alito took part in a court decision that involved Singer's business.

Durbin said the Supreme Court is in the middle of an “ethical crisis of its own making” and added that Congress will act if Chief Justice John Roberts does not address the issue on his own. The chief justice has responded to Durbin's queries with a "Statement on Ethics Principles and Practices," which was signed by all nine justices.

“The highest court in the land should not have the lowest ethical standards. But for too long that has been the case with the United States Supreme Court. That needs to change. That’s why when the Senate returns after the July 4th recess, the Senate Judiciary Committee will mark up Supreme Court ethics legislation,” Durbin and Whitehouse said in a statement.

The move by Durbin, the panel’s chair, and Whitehouse, a pugnacious liberal fighter on court issues, escalates the conflict between a Democratic Senate and the conservative court majority. It’s a fight that’s been brewing since the GOP blocked Merrick Garland’s nomination to the Supreme Court in 2016, and it is accelerating due to ProPublica’s reporting on the justices.

Republicans have mostly defended the Supreme Court justice, since they have not done anything technically illegal. Democrats in the upper chamber would need at least nine Republicans to back any court ethics legislation in order to overcome a filibuster, though a bill could advance through the Judiciary Committee with a simple majority.

The goal with any legislation, Democrats say, is to apply the same standards to the Supreme Court that govern lower courts. Whitehouse has a bill to increase disclosure requirements and allow complaints to be filed against justices.

Democrats have tried to prod Roberts to appear before the Senate Judiciary Committee this year to discuss the matter, but Roberts declined. Durbin also held a hearing about ethics reform in May. The panel chair has not moved to subpoena Roberts, but his announcement Wednesday is a clear move to force some action by the chief justice.



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Wednesday 21 June 2023

Missing Titanic tourist sub has about 40 hours of oxygen remaining Coast Guard says


The submersible vessel carrying five people that vanished en route to the Titanic shipwreck has enough oxygen to sustain those aboard for only about 40 more hours, the U.S. Coast Guard said on Tuesday afternoon.

The 21-foot tourist vessel lost contact with its parent ship on Sunday morning — about an hour and 45 minutes into its nearly 13,000-foot plunge to the site of the Titanic. After two days of inconclusive searching, the U.S. and Canadian Coast Guards have launched a joint effort alongside commercial, research and private vessels and aircraft to locate and recover the submersible.

“While the U.S. Coast Guard has assumed the role of search-and-rescue mission coordinator, we do not have all of the necessary expertise and equipment required in a search of this nature,” Capt. Jamie Frederick said at a Coast Guard news conference in Boston on Tuesday. “The unified command brings that expertise and additional capability together to maximize effort in solving this very complex problem.”

The submersible vessel, which is called Titan, is not equipped with a GPS, and instead relied on text message communication with its parent ship, the Canadian-owned expedition vessel MV Polar Prince. The Polar Prince requested Coast Guard assistance on Sunday after an initial search for the vessel, which went down in the North Atlantic approximately 900 miles east of Cape Cod, Mass., Frederick said.

If the vessel is located underwater, however, bringing it to the surface could pose a challenge — the Coast Guard does not currently have the equipment to lift the submarine back to the surface, and declined to comment on how far away the nearest naval asset capable of doing so might be.

Coordinated Coast Guard efforts are searching a combined 7,600 square miles — an area larger than the state of Connecticut — with the help of C130 aircraft searching by sight and radar and P3 aircraft dropping monitor sonar buoys. On Tuesday, Frederick said, the commercial pipe-laying vessel Deep Energy convened with the Polar Prince to begin a remotely operated dive at the last known location of the submarine. Other vehicles with ROV capabilities are also preparing to join in the search.



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Marianne Williamson loses second campaign manager in two months


Marianne Williamson has lost her second campaign manager in as many months in what has proven to be a rocky 2024 presidential bid.

Roza Calderon’s departure was announced Monday on a small left-wing podcast, the Vanguard, and independently confirmed by two sources to POLITICO granted anonymity to discuss internal staffing dynamics. It is unclear whether she was fired, quit or if it was a mutually agreed upon departure.

Calderon was first hired as a fundraiser for the Williamson campaign in late April and then took on the top job in May after then-interim campaign manager Peter Daou stepped down along with deputy campaign manager Jason Call.

Calderon’s experience in such roles was limited. She ran for Congress in 2018 but lost. During that campaign, she was sentenced to probation after allegedly stealing money from a local Democratic Party group to spend on gas, movie downloads and BottleRock music festival tickets. She had also embellished her resume calling herself a director of development when she was in fact a contractor at the progressive nonprofit Our Revolution.



Williamson, the campaign press secretary and Calerdon did not respond to a request for comment.

Williamson is running a longshot campaign in the Democratic primary — her third bid for public office since 2014 — and hit a polling high of 9 percent in a FOX News Democratic primary poll. But since the campaign launched in March, staff have been fleeing the team. There have been at least seven departures in the last month.

The campaign raised less than $1 million in the first quarter of 2023, and it is not running any broadcast advertising.

Williamson hasn't been on the campaign trail for the last several weeks. Instead, she has been doing virtual events so she could be in London for the birth of her first grandchild. She has been hosting online roundtables, which she calls “Firelight Chats,” but has not traveled to any of the early voting states since April.



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Tuesday 20 June 2023

China negotiating with Havana about joint military training facility in Cuba


China and Cuba are in active conversations about creating a new joint military training facility on the island nation 100 miles from the American homeland.

According to a senior U.S. official, Beijing and Havana are discussing what kind of training would take place at the facility and what the leadership structure would look like. Biden administration officials have brought up these talks with their counterparts in Beijing and Havana. It’s unclear, however, how far along China and Cuba are in their chats about the prospects for a deal, the official said.

Asked for comment, an administration official said the U.S. “can’t confirm on that reporting or comment on that specifically. We continue to be concerned about [China’s] longstanding activities with Cuba,” adding that Beijing “will keep trying to enhance its presence in Cuba, and we will keep working to disrupt it.”

The officials were granted anonymity to discuss a highly classified intelligence issue. The Wall Street Journal was first to report on the negotiations.

The revelation comes on the heels of Secretary of State Antony Blinken’s trip to China where on Monday he met with paramount leader Xi Jinping. While both men said the talks were fruitful, though devoid of clear deliverables, China refused to reestablish military-to-military communications like Washington wanted.

“I think it’s absolutely vital that we have these kinds of communications, military to military,” Blinken told reporters Monday. “That imperative, I think, was only underscored by recent incidents that we saw in the air and on the seas.”

Ten days ago, the Biden administration admitted China had a spy base in Cuba since at least 2019, after initially saying — without elaboration — that the reporting on negotiations over such a base by the Wall Street Journal, POLITICO and other outlets was “inaccurate.”

Trump administration officials insist they were not aware of intelligence on the spy base while they were in office. But during a Sunday appearance on CNN, former Defense Secretary Mark Esper said he “would not be surprised” by China’s actions.



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Police raid Paris 2024 Olympics HQ in corruption probe

Cops ‘collecting documents,’ according to email seen by POLITICO.

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